Disclaimer: Play at your own risk. You will almost certainly lose money on average, and I find golf to be more of a crap shoot than other sports. Also, my lineups will certainly be influenced by my own biases – players I like to cheer for, players I hate to cheer for, etc. But since you are here anyway…
Here are the lineups I am going with for the Olympics. There is a weak field, and the list drops off pretty quickly, so if you haven’t been closely following the Asian Tour, the bottom half of the list might look completely made up. But
gambling skill games are fun (see disclaimer above), so here we go:
- Henrik Stenson ($12,400) – Hard to do at least one lineup without him given how well he is playing.
- Martin Kaymer ($10,300) – Strong showing lately, with a T7 at the PGA.
- Gregory Bourdy ($7,000) – With a T18 at both the US Open and the PGA, great value at this range.
- Nicolas Colsaerts ($6,900) – Well the course is links style, and he had a T3 at the Aberdeen Scottish Open (similar strength of field to the Olympics), and made the cut at the Open, so seems like a reasonable
- Fabrizio Zanotti ($6,800) – This is a real guy, I promise.
- Alex Cejka ($6,600) – This seems like a mistake given the guys that are priced near him. Really cheap given how he has been playing. He will probably be a popular pick since there aren’t that many really convincing value picks, but if you want to stack a couple of good guys at the top, it is hard not to pick Cejka at this price.
- Patrick Reed ($10,700) – He has been playing well, and given how much he loves playing for the USA, it would be really fun to see him win.
- Emiliano Grillo ($9,600) – He found his clubs and he is ready to go. He seems to make his living finishing between 10th and 20th, but I’m hoping for something higher this week.
- Soren Kjeldsen ($8,500) – Strong showing on links style courses coupled with nice play as of late.
- Padraig Harrington ($7,700) – Seems to step up on big stages, and the Olympics is a big stage…right?
- Marcus Fraser ($6,700) – Representing Australia – no not Scott, no not Leishman, this guy.
- Cheng-Tsung Pan ($6,600) – I’ve been following this guy for a while, and…just kidding. What do you want from me? $6,600, just close your eyes and read that article about this being a skill game again.